Alexander Donski vs Pepijn Bastiaansen Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

When analyzing the second serve performance over the past six months, Alexander Donski has been more proficient, winning 42.56% of points compared to Victor Bastiaansen’s 39.13%. This statistic is notably significant for predicting match outcomes. Consistent with this, Donski has demonstrated a higher proficiency in match wins over the past year, achieving a win rate of 69.09% in matches played, as opposed to Bastiaansen's 57.69%.

Examining recent return game stats, Bastiaansen has the upper hand in second serve return points, securing 49.75% compared to Donski's 46.64%. Nevertheless, Donski has shown better performance on first serve return points, with figures of 21.91% against Bastiaansen's 27.58%, giving an edge when deciphering the favored player in their head-to-head matchups. Under pressure, Donski has been superior in saving breakpoints, registering a 56.72% salvation rate, while Bastiaansen lags at 44.12%.

Focusing on their career performance by surface, Donski thrives on hard courts with a career win percentage of 62%, whereas his weakest performance is on indoor hard courts at 36%. Similarly, Bastiaansen's best record is also on hard surfaces with a winning percentage of 58%, but he struggles most on indoor hard courts with just 33%. Their experience level is evident from the tournament categories they predominantly engaged in. Over the last year, Donski has contested primarily in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments, achieving a win percentage of 69.77%, while Bastiaansen stands at 57.69% in the same tier.

Head-to-head records further fortify Donski's edge, having won their singular encounter. This meeting took place at the M 15 Pretoria semifinals in 2025, where Donski emerged victorious with straight sets, 7-5 6-2. The match averaged 1 hour and 33 minutes in duration. Interestingly, no tiebreaks have been played between them, and a deciding set has yet to be encountered, nullifying past performance in extreme pressure scenarios for direct prediction.

When taking into account the quality of opponents faced, Donski's adversaries have an average rank of 253.24, compared to Bastiaansen’s at 287.62. In deciding sets against all players, Donski holds an impressive 80% success rate, overshadowing Bastiaansen's 60%. Importantly, Donski marginally leads in breakpoint conversion, with a recent form of 29.58% over Bastiaansen’s 28%, highlighting a crucial leverage in tight match situations.

Considering all these statistical analyses, Donski demonstrates a slight performance superiority across several key metrics. Therefore, based on current data and trends, Donski is anticipated to prevail in their upcoming match.